This is my 2020 Electoral Forecast. Use arrow keys to navigate between states and the overall election I will update it when new important information about the election comes out.
10/2: Updated Ohio and Texas probabilities to reflect polling. 10/3: Added the scenario where Biden wins the Electoral College but it's close enough that, since Trump will refuse to accept the election results, the outcome is uncertain. 10/9: Adjusted the forecast model. Certain techniques I was using felt like cop-outs. 10/3: Fixed an issue with the lean-bar display that caused some Republican electoral votes to render as Democratic. 10/3: Realized the current model could result in some pretty unrealistic scenarios, so I changed the weights on the election and regional offsets to bias the electoral offset more.
