See inside to see past predictions I have made, as well as the 'now-cast' (predicting the election as if it were held now). The background color is based on which party I think will win. Or, view the map(s) on 270ToWin: https://www.270towin.com/maps/N4R74 (July 21) https://www.270towin.com/maps/mLdyn (July 21-2)
Update July 21: Added split votes, made 3 changes, all in favor of Biden (NH, OH, NM) based on other predictions that I saw Update July 21: Reverted to the April projection with some modifications after not being able to create as many scenarios on the Democratic side of the July prediction as on the Republican side Update July 21: Re-reverted to the July prediction based on a (more knowledgeable) friend's opinion Update July 21: The new model suggests a Democratic landslide, based on George Will as an example. Update July 22: Made three changes (NY, PA, IN) based on birth states. Update July 29: Made an adjustment based on jhkforecasts (NE-2) Update August 28: Fixed a thing I thought I had fixed before but I didn't apparently
