I know it's a little too early for this but I want to be the first. Newsom vs. DeSantis DeSantis: 291 Electoral Votes Newsom: 247 Electoral Votes Green Party: Undecided Libertarian Party: Chase Oliver Other Socialist Parties: Undecided Third Party: Undecided Explanation: Let's explain the candidates first, DeSantis has been openly wanting the presidency for a while now, and without Trump being able to run, I think he'd beat out Vance and any other candidates in the primaries due to his popularity. It depends on how the Trump administration does, Vance might secure the position if Trump wins the trade war against China. I'll go with DeSantis for now. Gavin Newsom has also been showing the need for this role even wishing to be Kamala Harris' running mate. I think that Waltz would not make it for apparent reasons and that the Democrats may just realize Kamala is a lost cause. Michelle Obama will not get the same support that she did in 2024 because by that time the Obamas will seem distant and in the past. Josh Shapiro another great candidate, will probably be beaten out because he is unknown. Jill Stein a very popular candidate among the Green Party has stated that she does not want to run so it is uncertain. However, Chase Oliver is young and his goal is not to win at all so the chances of him representing the libertarians are very likely. Claudia De La Cruz may run, but at this point, there are so many different socialists it is too hard to tell who will be the head of their little clique. Finally, I don't think R.F.K. will run again because he's already getting what he wants under the Trump Administration. Let's get onto the states. Obviously, the Democrats will secure their blue wall in the West with California, Oregon, and Washington. New Mexico and Colorado are also likely to lean Democratic. I think that Arizona might go blue and stay blue during this election due to migrant waves and a recurring pattern of slowly moving forward since 2016 and especially since 2020. The red wall exists with Montana, Idaho, Nevada, Utah, Wyoming, North Dakota, Nebraska, South Dakota, Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama all traditionally taking part. There is usually just one point going to the Democrats so I'll give it to them, same with Maine, one electoral vote to the Republicans. Minnesota and Illinois are traditionally Democrats. We have Florida going to DeSantis as it is his home state, also any Republicans will be few in California due to the same reasons. New Jersey, New York, Maryland, Delaware, D.C. Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Virginia, and Maine will probably all lean blue as they usually do. While a blue Pennsylvania is possible their rural areas will probably combat it and I don't see this happening. Wyoming is usually decided by three or so counties so I think as long as Newsom campaigns there he may win it. Michigan will probably lean red just like last time for the same reasons as Pennsylvania. Georgia could also go blue but it is the same case and I don't see that happening. Indiana, Ohio, West Virginia, Kentucky, Tennesee, North Carolina, and South Carolina. Alaska is red and Hawaii is blue. The House and Senate will probably stay red for a very long time. These next four years under Donald J. Trump will affect everyone. I can't tell who the running mates are going to be yet simply because it's four years into the future. Plus we won't know the geopolitics or scandals that pop up in the future as well. 2024 was a decisive victory for the Republicans and it looks like they're going to win for a long while with the next elections in the future.
This is probably very inaccurate. 270 to Win